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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Wednesday 23 April 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eleven fixtures on Wednesday 23 April 2025. Athletic Club vs Las Palmas (Athletic Club or draw) sits top on 83% in the La Liga. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 83%
Athletic Club
1 : 0 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 54%
#2 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 82%
Arsenal
2 : 2 FT
Crystal Palace
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#3 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Mjallby AIF or draw 81%
Halmstad
1 : 3 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 59%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 81%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
4 : 0 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 25%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 80%
Al Bataeh
1 : 3 FT
Al-Wasl FC
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 59%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Austria Austria Vienna or draw 79%
Austria Vienna
2 : 1 FT
Sturm Graz
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 29%
Win 21%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 78%
Hammarby FF
2 : 0 FT
Malmo FF
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Austria FC BW Linz or draw 77%
FC BW Linz
2 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 29%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#9 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 77%
Anderlecht
5 : 0 FT
Gent
βœ“ Win 46%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 55%
#10 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 77%
Getafe
0 : 1 FT
Real Madrid
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Groningen or draw 75%
Groningen
4 : 1 FT
Heracles
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 32%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 70% BTTS No 63%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 23 April 2025?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Athletic Club vs Las Palmas (Athletic Club or draw) at 83% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.