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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 24 February 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Monday 24 February 2025. AS Roma vs Monza (AS Roma or draw) led the list at 91% in the Serie A. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans six different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 91%
AS Roma
4 : 0 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 53%
#2 Premier League Β· Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 88%
Shakhtar Donetsk
1 : 0 FT
Livyi Bereh
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 86%
FC Porto
1 : 1 FT
Vitória SC
Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 60%
#4 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Damac or draw 82%
Damac
1 : 2 FT
Al Orubah
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#5 Primera División Β· Chile Colo Colo or draw 78%
Colo Colo
0 : 1 FT
O'Higgins
Win 54%
Draw 24%
Win 22%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Dordrecht or draw 78%
Jong PSV U21
1 : 2 FT
Dordrecht
Win 22%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 24 February 2025?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by AS Roma vs Monza (AS Roma or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.