Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 16 February 2025
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 16 February 2025. Gent vs Beerschot VA (Gent or draw) sits top on 91% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Eredivisie supplies three of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Gent or draw
91%
Serie A · Italy
Fiorentina or draw
88%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
88%
Bundesliga · Austria
TSV Hartberg or draw
86%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
86%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Jagiellonia or draw
86%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Eyüpspor or draw
86%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
NEC Nijmegen or draw
84%
Premier League · England
Liverpool or draw
84%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Twente or draw
84%
Super League 1 · Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Germany
Eintracht Frankfurt or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PEC Zwolle or draw
81%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
81%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Rio Ave or draw
80%
Bundesliga · Germany
FSV Mainz 05 or draw
79%
K League 1 · South-Korea
Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw
78%
Eerste Divisie · Netherlands
Excelsior or draw
78%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Nürnberg or draw
78%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 16 February 2025?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Gent vs Beerschot VA (Gent or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.