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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 9 February 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 9 February 2025. Telstar vs Jong Utrecht (Telstar or draw) led the list at 90% in the Eerste Divisie. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 78%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Telstar or draw 90%
Telstar
6 : 0 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 88%
AEK Athens FC
5 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ BTTS No 57%
#3 Championship Β· England Bristol City or draw 88%
Bristol City
0 : 1 FT
Swansea
Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 87%
Kortrijk
1 : 2 FT
Union St. Gilloise
Win 13%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 60%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 55%
#5 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 86%
FC Luzern
3 : 2 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 25%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 53%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Casa Pia or draw 84%
Casa Pia
1 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 84%
Galatasaray
1 : 0 FT
Adana Demirspor
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 66%
#8 Serie B Β· Italy Spezia or draw 84%
Spezia
2 : 2 FT
Palermo
Win 57%
Draw 27%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%
#9 Ligue 1 Β· France Strasbourg or draw 83%
Strasbourg
2 : 0 FT
Montpellier
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 27%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 83%
FK Jablonec
4 : 2 FT
Slovácko
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#11 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 83%
SC Braga
2 : 0 FT
GIL Vicente
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 83%
Fortuna Sittard
0 : 2 FT
Ajax
Win 17%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 64%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 58%
#13 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 83%
Napoli
1 : 1 FT
Udinese
Win 52%
Draw 31%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 82%
Angers
0 : 2 FT
Marseille
Win 18%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 56%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 60%
#15 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna or draw 82%
Lecce
0 : 0 FT
Bologna
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain Real Sociedad or draw 81%
Real Sociedad
2 : 1 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 62%
#17 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Bohemians 1905 or draw 80%
Bohemians 1905
1 : 0 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 18%
Win 20%
Over 2.5 77% BTTS Yes 72%
#18 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Karlsruher SC or draw 79%
Karlsruher SC
0 : 2 FT
Eintracht Braunschweig
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 66%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 79%
Lazio
5 : 1 FT
Monza
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#20 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 78%
Sevilla
1 : 4 FT
Barcelona
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 9 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Telstar vs Jong Utrecht (Telstar or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.