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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 8 February 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 8 February 2025. PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II (PSV Eindhoven or draw) led the list at 95% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 19 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 95%
PSV Eindhoven
1 : 1 FT
Willem II
Win 85%
Draw 9%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 81% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Muangthong United or draw 92%
Muangthong United
2 : 1 FT
Chiangrai United
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 15%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 64%
#3 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 92%
Benfica
3 : 2 FT
Moreirense
βœ“ Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Atalanta or draw 90%
Hellas Verona
0 : 5 FT
Atalanta
Win 10%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 66%
✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 89%
Norwich
1 : 1 FT
Derby
Win 73%
Draw 16%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#6 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 89%
Sheffield Utd
2 : 1 FT
Portsmouth
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS No 54%
#7 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Patro Eisden or draw 88%
Patro Eisden
1 : 0 FT
KRC Genk II
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 15%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 88%
Club Brugge KV
1 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 88%
BSC Young Boys
5 : 1 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 20%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#10 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 87%
Salford City
2 : 0 FT
Tranmere
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 21%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 54%
#11 Super League Β· Switzerland Lausanne or draw 87%
Lausanne
4 : 1 FT
Yverdon Sport
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
#12 Ligue 2 Β· France Lorient or draw 86%
Lorient
3 : 1 FT
Amiens
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 19%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60%
#13 Serie B Β· Italy Pisa or draw 86%
Pisa
0 : 1 FT
Cittadella
Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 86%
Genk
2 : 1 FT
Cercle Brugge
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#15 Ligue 2 Β· France Metz or draw 86%
Metz
3 : 1 FT
Clermont Foot
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 23%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 60%
#16 League Two Β· England Bradford or draw 85%
Bradford
1 : 0 FT
Harrogate Town
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#17 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 84%
Lille
1 : 2 FT
Le Havre
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Zulte Waregem or draw 83%
Zulte Waregem
– : – CANC
Deinze
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 65%
#19 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 82%
Bolton
4 : 3 FT
Crawley Town
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 19%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy Catanzaro or draw 82%
Frosinone
1 : 1 FT
Catanzaro
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 56%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 8 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by PSV Eindhoven vs Willem II (PSV Eindhoven or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.