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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 1 February 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 1 February 2025. Genk vs Beerschot VA (Genk or draw) led the list at 96% in the Jupiler Pro League. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Genk or draw 96%
Genk
1 : 0 FT
Beerschot VA
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 15%
Win 4%
Over 2.5 68%
#2 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 95%
Bayern München
4 : 3 FT
Holstein Kiel
βœ“ Win 86%
Draw 8%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 86% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#3 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 91%
Leeds
7 : 0 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 17%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal or draw 90%
Villarreal
5 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Lille or draw 90%
Lille
4 : 1 FT
Saint Etienne
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 21%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 88%
Excelsior
1 : 3 FT
Vitesse
Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 12%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#7 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 87%
Al-Ittihad FC
4 : 3 FT
Al Kholood
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 86%
Monaco
4 : 2 FT
Auxerre
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#9 League One Β· England Birmingham or draw 86%
Birmingham
2 : 1 FT
Rotherham
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 26%
Win 14%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 67% Birmingham Clean Sheet 57%
#10 Super League Β· Switzerland Lausanne or draw 85%
Lausanne
1 : 2 FT
BSC Young Boys
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#11 La Liga Β· Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 84%
Atletico Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Mallorca
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 16%
✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 Serie B Β· Italy Sassuolo or draw 84%
Sassuolo
2 : 0 FT
Juve Stabia
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 61%
#13 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 84%
VfB Stuttgart
1 : 2 FT
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Win 65%
Draw 18%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#14 Championship Β· England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 83%
Sheffield Wednesday
1 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#15 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Hertha BSC or draw 83%
SSV Jahn Regensburg
2 : 0 FT
Hertha BSC
Win 17%
Draw 27%
Win 55%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#16 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC or draw 82%
Vitória SC
2 : 0 FT
AVS
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Lugano or draw 82%
FC Lugano
3 : 2 FT
FC Sion
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna or draw 82%
Bologna
2 : 0 FT
Como
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
#19 League One Β· England Huddersfield or draw 82%
Northampton
3 : 2 FT
Huddersfield
Win 18%
Draw 24%
Win 58%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 55%
#20 League One Β· England Wycombe or draw 82%
Cambridge United
1 : 1 FT
Wycombe
Win 18%
Draw 18%
Win 63%
Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 1 February 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Genk vs Beerschot VA (Genk or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.