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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 19 January 2025

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 19 January 2025. The strongest reading belongs to Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United (Buriram United or draw) at 96% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Jupiler Pro League supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Buriram United or draw 96%
Buriram United
9 : 0 FT
Khon Kaen United
βœ“ Win 84%
Draw 12%
Win 4%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Buriram United Clean Sheet 58%
#2 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Göztepe or draw 95%
Göztepe
1 : 0 FT
Antalyaspor
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 14%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 72%
#3 Premier League Β· England Nottingham Forest or draw 89%
Nottingham Forest
3 : 2 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 29%
Win 11%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 64% Nottingham Forest Clean Sheet 57%
#4 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 88%
Union St. Gilloise
1 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 12%
#5 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 88%
Adana Demirspor
0 : 4 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 12%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#6 Serie B Β· Italy Sassuolo or draw 86%
Sassuolo
5 : 3 FT
Sudtirol
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 27%
Win 14%
#7 Championship Β· England Leeds or draw 86%
Leeds
3 : 0 FT
Sheffield Wednesday
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 55%
#8 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium St. Truiden or draw 83%
St. Truiden
1 : 2 FT
Standard Liege
Win 50%
Draw 33%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 57%
#9 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 82%
Ipswich
0 : 6 FT
Manchester City
Win 18%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 55%
#10 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 82%
Antwerp
3 : 2 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Anderlecht or draw 81%
Kortrijk
0 : 2 FT
Anderlecht
Win 19%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59%
#12 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 81%
Estrela
0 : 1 FT
SC Braga
Win 19%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 56%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Eyüpspor or draw 80%
Eyüpspor
3 : 0 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#14 Super League Β· Switzerland Lausanne or draw 79%
Lausanne
0 : 0 FT
FC Luzern
Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 68% BTTS Yes 64%
#15 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 79%
Real Madrid
4 : 1 FT
Las Palmas
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#16 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 79%
Hellas Verona
0 : 3 FT
Lazio
Win 21%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 57%
#17 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 79%
Atromitos
1 : 2 FT
Olympiakos Piraeus
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%
#18 Bundesliga Β· Germany FSV Mainz 05 or draw 79%
Union Berlin
2 : 1 FT
FSV Mainz 05
Win 21%
Draw 25%
Win 54%
#19 Serie B Β· Italy Palermo or draw 79%
Palermo
1 : 0 FT
Juve Stabia
βœ“ Win 44%
Draw 35%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy Carrarese or draw 78%
Carrarese
0 : 4 FT
Spezia
Win 36%
Draw 43%
Win 22%
Under 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS No 72% Carrarese Clean Sheet 55%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 19 January 2025?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Buriram United vs Khon Kaen United (Buriram United or draw) at 96% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.