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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 26 November 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Tuesday 26 November 2024. Norwich vs Plymouth (Norwich or draw) sits top on 91% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Championship supplies three of the top 8, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 91%
Norwich
6 : 1 FT
Plymouth
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 19%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#2 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 85%
Sheffield Utd
3 : 0 FT
Oxford United
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 28%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Excelsior or draw 85%
Jong Utrecht
0 : 0 FT
Excelsior
Win 15%
Draw 19%
Win 66%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 59%
#4 Championship Β· England Stoke City or draw 82%
Stoke City
0 : 0 FT
Preston
Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 63%
#5 League One Β· England Wrexham or draw 81%
Wrexham
1 : 0 FT
Lincoln
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 Serie A Β· Brazil Fluminense or draw 80%
Fluminense
0 : 0 FT
Criciuma
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Roda or draw 79%
Roda
3 : 0 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
BTTS Yes 53%
#8 Serie A Β· Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 76%
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0 FT
Flamengo
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 56%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 26 November 2024?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Norwich vs Plymouth (Norwich or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.