Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 5 October 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 5 October 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC (Ratchaburi or draw) at 93% in the Thai League 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 84%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Ratchaburi or draw
93%
Ligue 2 · France
Ajaccio or draw
91%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Lech Poznan or draw
91%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
SK Beveren or draw
90%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
89%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Utrecht or draw
88%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
88%
Thai League 1 · Thailand
Sukhothai FC or draw
87%
Bundesliga · Austria
Austria Vienna or draw
87%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Gornik Zabrze or draw
87%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Hammarby FF or draw
87%
League Two · England
Barrow or draw
87%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Luzern or draw
86%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Mjallby AIF or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Pisa or draw
85%
Premier League · Russia
Spartak Moscow or draw
85%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Sporting CP or draw
85%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Sion or draw
84%
Superettan · Sweden
Sandviken or draw
84%
Championship · England
Coventry or draw
84%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 5 October 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ratchaburi vs Rayong FC (Ratchaburi or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.