Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 28 September 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 28 September 2024. SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Youth Island (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) sits top on 92% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Super League · China
SHANGHAI SIPG or draw
92%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw
89%
Ligue 1 · France
Monaco or draw
89%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
88%
Primera División · Chile
Everton de Vina or draw
88%
Serie A · Brazil
Palmeiras or draw
87%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Magdeburg or draw
86%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Kaiserslautern or draw
86%
Premier League · England
Liverpool or draw
86%
Super League · China
Beijing Guoan or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
SC Freiburg or draw
86%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
85%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
85%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge or draw
84%
Championship · England
Sheffield Utd or draw
84%
La Liga · Spain
Rayo Vallecano or draw
84%
Premier League · Russia
CSKA Moscow or draw
84%
Premier League · England
Arsenal or draw
83%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Genk or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 28 September 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by SHANGHAI SIPG vs Qingdao Youth Island (SHANGHAI SIPG or draw) at 92% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.