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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 14 September 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 14 September 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Sandviken vs Skövde AIK (Sandviken or draw) at 90% in the Superettan. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Superettan Β· Sweden Sandviken or draw 90%
Sandviken
2 : 2 FT
Skövde AIK
Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#2 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 87%
Chengdu Better City
2 : 2 FT
Beijing Guoan
Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#3 League One Β· England Reading or draw 85%
Reading
0 : 1 FT
Leyton Orient
Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Super League Β· China Changchun Yatai or draw 85%
Changchun Yatai
3 : 2 FT
Nantong Zhiyun
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 17%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#5 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS or draw 85%
KuPS
3 : 1 FT
VPS
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 23%
Win 15%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 85%
BG Pathum United
1 : 1 FT
Nong Bua Pitchaya
Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#7 Bundesliga Β· Austria Wolfsberger AC or draw 84%
Wolfsberger AC
1 : 1 FT
Rapid Vienna
Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#8 Championship Β· England Derby or draw 84%
Derby
1 : 0 FT
Cardiff
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 53%
#9 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 84%
AC Milan
4 : 0 FT
Venezia
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 28%
Win 16%
#10 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 83%
Twente
1 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
Win 55%
Draw 28%
Win 17%
#11 League Two Β· England AFC Wimbledon or draw 82%
AFC Wimbledon
3 : 0 FT
Milton Keynes Dons
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
#12 Championship Β· England Millwall or draw 82%
Millwall
0 : 1 FT
Luton
Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#13 Premier League Β· England Manchester City or draw 82%
Manchester City
2 : 1 FT
Brentford
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Famalicao or draw 82%
Famalicao
1 : 1 FT
GIL Vicente
Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 63%
#15 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland HJK Helsinki or draw 82%
HJK Helsinki
2 : 2 FT
SJK
Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#16 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 81%
Ilves
3 : 2 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#17 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Lech Poznan or draw 81%
Lech Poznan
5 : 0 FT
Jagiellonia
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#18 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough or draw 81%
Middlesbrough
1 : 1 FT
Preston
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
#19 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Suwon City FC or draw 81%
Suwon City FC
0 : 6 FT
Jeonbuk Motors
Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#20 Bundesliga Β· Austria FC BW Linz or draw 81%
FC BW Linz
1 : 0 FT
Lask Linz
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
BTTS Yes 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 14 September 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sandviken vs Skövde AIK (Sandviken or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.