Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 24 August 2024
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 24 August 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Ilves vs EIF (Ilves or draw) at 90% in the Veikkausliiga. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Veikkausliiga · Finland
Ilves or draw
90%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
Benfica or draw
86%
Championship · England
Watford or draw
86%
Primera División · Chile
Universidad de Chile or draw
84%
Premier League · England
Manchester City or draw
84%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hertha BSC or draw
84%
League Two · England
Milton Keynes Dons or draw
82%
Premier League · Ukraine
Shakhtar Donetsk or draw
82%
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
82%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV Eindhoven or draw
81%
Serie B · Italy
Cremonese or draw
81%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Sparta Praha or draw
81%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
81%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
81%
Premier League · England
Crystal Palace or draw
80%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Malmo FF or draw
80%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Piast Gliwice or draw
80%
Serie A · Italy
Inter or draw
80%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
80%
Serie B · Italy
Brescia or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
Double Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 24 August 2024?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ilves vs EIF (Ilves or draw) at 90% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.