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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 27 April 2024

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 27 April 2024. Bristol City vs Rotherham (Bristol City or draw) led the list at 92% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 83%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Championship · England Bristol City or draw 92%

Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Bristol City Clean Sheet 56%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 90%

Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 58%

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Gornik Zabrze or draw 89%

Premier League · Ukraine Shakhtar Donetsk or draw 88%

Superettan · Sweden GIF Sundsvall or draw 88%

Serie B · Italy Parma or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 54%

League One · England Derby or draw 87%

#10

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#11

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%

#12

Superettan · Sweden Gefle IF or draw 86%

#13

Bundesliga · Austria Wolfsberger AC or draw 86%

#14

Serie B · Italy Brescia or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 59%

#15

Bundesliga · Germany Bayer Leverkusen or draw 86%

#16

Thai League 1 · Thailand Sukhothai FC or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#17

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Standard Liege or draw 85%

#18

Ekstraklasa · Poland Slask Wroclaw or draw 85%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 53%

#19

Canadian Premier League · Canada Forge or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#20

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vitória SC or draw 83%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Predictions by country

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 27 April 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bristol City vs Rotherham (Bristol City or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.