🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Wednesday 24 April 2024

Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23 Wed 24 Thu 25 Fri 26 Sat 27

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Wednesday 24 April 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs Excelsior (Ajax or draw) at 91% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Premier League supplies three of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 79% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Ligue 1 · France Paris Saint Germain or draw 88%

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 69% Zenit Clean Sheet 60%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 86%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 84%

Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Premier League · England Manchester United or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Veikkausliiga · Finland SJK or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Ligue 1 · France Marseille or draw 78%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 76%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Wednesday 24 April 2024?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs Excelsior (Ajax or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.