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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 2 March 2024

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 2 March 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Hatayspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 85% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 85%
Hatayspor
0 : 2 FT
Fenerbahçe
Win 15%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 59%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 55%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 85%
SC Braga
3 : 0 FT
Estrela
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 60%
#3 League One Β· England Derby or draw 84%
Derby
3 : 0 FT
Port Vale
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#4 League Two Β· England Tranmere or draw 84%
Tranmere
1 : 0 FT
Sutton Utd
βœ“ Win 63%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Ligue 2 Β· France Auxerre or draw 84%
Auxerre
0 : 0 FT
Valenciennes
Win 60%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
#6 League Two Β· England Wrexham or draw 83%
Wrexham
4 : 0 FT
Accrington ST
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 83%
Karviná
1 : 3 FT
Slovácko
Win 17%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 57%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 82%
Zenit
0 : 0 FT
Spartak Moscow
Win 57%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#9 Super League Β· Switzerland Servette FC or draw 82%
Servette FC
2 : 0 FT
FC ST. Gallen
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
#10 Championship Β· England Norwich or draw 81%
Norwich
1 : 0 FT
Sunderland
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 81%
Vitesse
1 : 2 FT
Twente
Win 19%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#12 La Liga Β· Spain Getafe or draw 81%
Getafe
3 : 3 FT
Las Palmas
Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 56%
#13 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 81%
Mlada Boleslav
3 : 1 FT
České Budějovice
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 22%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#14 Premier League Β· England Tottenham or draw 81%
Tottenham
3 : 1 FT
Crystal Palace
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#15 Championship Β· England Leicester or draw 81%
Leicester
1 : 2 FT
QPR
Win 54%
Draw 27%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 60%
#16 Championship Β· England Middlesbrough or draw 81%
Stoke City
2 : 0 FT
Middlesbrough
Win 19%
Draw 24%
Win 56%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 League One Β· England Peterborough or draw 81%
Peterborough
2 : 1 FT
Exeter City
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 20%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#18 Premier League Β· Russia FC Krasnodar or draw 80%
FC Krasnodar
1 : 1 FT
Rubin
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 59%
#19 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic FK Jablonec or draw 80%
FK Jablonec
1 : 1 FT
Hradec Králové
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 20%
#20 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 80%
CSKA Moscow
1 : 1 FT
FC Orenburg
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 2 March 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Hatayspor vs Fenerbahçe (Fenerbahçe or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.