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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 20 January 2024

Wed 17 Thu 18 Fri 19 Sat 20 Sun 21 Mon 22 Tue 23

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 20 January 2024. The strongest reading belongs to Peterborough vs Shrewsbury (Peterborough or draw) at 93% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

League One supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 14 landed the double chance market — 70%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Peterborough or draw 93%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 62% Peterborough Clean Sheet 58%

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Standard Liege or draw 90%

✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 62% Standard Liege Clean Sheet 56%

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 54%

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 88%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 87%

Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 84%

2. Bundesliga · Germany FC St. Pauli or draw 84%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 58%

Serie A · Italy AS Roma or draw 84%

Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%

Championship · England Middlesbrough or draw 84%

#10

League One · England Bolton or draw 83%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 65% Bolton Clean Sheet 54%

#11

Super League 1 · Greece Lamia or draw 83%

#12

League One · England Bristol Rovers or draw 83%

#13

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Genk or draw 81%

Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#14

League Two · England Milton Keynes Dons or draw 81%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#15

League One · England Wigan or draw 80%

Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 53%

#16

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Club Brugge KV or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 53% BTTS Yes 56%

#17

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 78%

#18

Super League 1 · Greece PAS Giannina or draw 78%

#19

Premier League · England Arsenal or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 54%

#20

League One · England Derby or draw 78%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 20 January 2024?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Peterborough vs Shrewsbury (Peterborough or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.