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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 2 December 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 2 December 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Adana Demirspor vs Samsunspor (Adana Demirspor or draw) at 95% in the Süper Lig. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 95%
Adana Demirspor
2 : 3 FT
Samsunspor
Win 80%
Draw 15%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS No 64% Adana Demirspor Clean Sheet 61%
#2 La Liga Β· Spain Real Madrid or draw 95%
Real Madrid
2 : 0 FT
Granada CF
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 13%
Win 5%
Over 2.5 73%
#3 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 94%
Antwerp
1 : 0 FT
OH Leuven
βœ“ Win 82%
Draw 12%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 81% BTTS Yes 60%
#4 Bundesliga Β· Germany RB Leipzig or draw 93%
RB Leipzig
2 : 1 FT
1. FC Heidenheim
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
✓ Over 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#5 Championship Β· England Birmingham or draw 92%
Birmingham
0 : 0 FT
Rotherham
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 64%
#6 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 90%
Pendikspor
0 : 2 FT
Galatasaray
Win 10%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 69%
Over 2.5 56%
#7 Premier League Β· England Arsenal or draw 87%
Arsenal
2 : 1 FT
Wolves
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#8 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 87%
VfB Stuttgart
2 : 0 FT
Werder Bremen
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 67%
#9 Championship Β· England Blackburn or draw 87%
Sheffield Wednesday
3 : 1 FT
Blackburn
Win 13%
Draw 21%
Win 66%
BTTS No 54%
#10 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Fateh or draw 86%
Al-Fateh
0 : 1 FT
Al Taee
Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 60%
#11 Serie A Β· Italy AC Milan or draw 85%
AC Milan
3 : 1 FT
Frosinone
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 59%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia Fakel or draw 85%
Fakel
0 : 0 FT
Baltika
Win 55%
Draw 30%
Win 15%
✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Fakel Clean Sheet 55%
#13 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Fortuna Sittard or draw 84%
Fortuna Sittard
3 : 1 FT
Vitesse
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy Lazio or draw 84%
Lazio
1 : 0 FT
Cagliari
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Police Tero or draw 83%
Police Tero
1 : 3 FT
Trat FC
Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#16 Serie B Β· Italy Parma or draw 82%
Spezia
0 : 1 FT
Parma
Win 18%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 54%
#17 Premier League Β· Russia Nizhny Novgorod or draw 82%
Nizhny Novgorod
1 : 0 FT
Ural
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 28%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#18 La Liga Β· Spain Girona or draw 82%
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Valencia
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 21%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#19 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 82%
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Manchester United
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
#20 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 81%
Lens
3 : 2 FT
Lyon
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 34%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 67% BTTS No 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 2 December 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Adana Demirspor vs Samsunspor (Adana Demirspor or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.