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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 17 September 2023

Thu 14 Fri 15 Sat 16 Sun 17 Mon 18 Tue 19 Wed 20

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 17 September 2023. BK Hacken vs Halmstad (BK Hacken or draw) sits top on 90% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 79%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 15 landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Allsvenskan · Sweden BK Hacken or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Superettan · Sweden Orebro SK or draw 87%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 63% Orebro SK Clean Sheet 55%

Allsvenskan · Sweden IF Elfsborg or draw 87%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Vitória SC or draw 85%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Excelsior or draw 84%

Over 2.5 78% BTTS Yes 72%

Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 84%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

Eliteserien · Norway Tromso or draw 84%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 83%

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Primeira Liga · Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#11

Canadian Premier League · Canada Pacific FC or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#12

Premier League · Russia Ural or draw 81%

#13

Ekstraklasa · Poland Jagiellonia or draw 81%

#14

Super League · China Tianjin Teda or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%

#15

Premier League · Ukraine Ruh Lviv or draw 81%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 63%

#16

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga or draw 80%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

#17

Premier League · Russia Lokomotiv or draw 80%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 68%

#18

Challenger Pro League · Belgium Standard Liège II or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 54%

#19

Premier League · Ukraine Kryvbas KR or draw 79%

#20

Super League · China Chengdu Better City or draw 79%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 September 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by BK Hacken vs Halmstad (BK Hacken or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.