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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 20 August 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 20 August 2023. Viking vs Stabaek (Viking or draw) led the list at 91% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Viking or draw 91%
Viking
1 : 0 FT
Stabaek
βœ“ Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 65%
#2 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 88%
Olympiakos Piraeus
2 : 0 FT
Panserraikos
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 55%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Twente or draw 87%
Twente
3 : 1 FT
PEC Zwolle
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 20%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Tromso or draw 86%
Tromso
1 : 0 FT
Sandefjord
βœ“ Win 70%
Draw 17%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 60%
#5 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden BK Hacken or draw 86%
BK Hacken
3 : 2 FT
Sirius
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#6 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 86%
Legia Warszawa
1 : 0 FT
Korona Kielce
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 58%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Malmo FF or draw 85%
Malmo FF
0 : 0 FT
Djurgardens IF
Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dnipro-1 or draw 85%
Dnipro-1
1 : 2 FT
Obolon'-Brovar
Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
BTTS No 54%
#9 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 85%
Vasco DA Gama
1 : 0 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 15%
Draw 32%
Win 53%
✓ Under 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS No 70% Atletico-MG Clean Sheet 59%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway Brann or draw 85%
Brann
5 : 1 FT
Aalesund
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 85%
Eintracht Frankfurt
1 : 0 FT
SV Darmstadt 98
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 84%
Slavia Praha
1 : 0 FT
Baník Ostrava
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 19%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 57%
#13 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 84%
Beşiktaş
1 : 1 FT
Pendikspor
Win 59%
Draw 25%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#14 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 83%
FC Porto
2 : 1 FT
Farense
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#15 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Hradec Králové or draw 83%
Hradec Králové
2 : 0 FT
Zlin
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 64%
#16 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 82%
Barcelona
2 : 0 FT
Cadiz
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#17 Serie B Β· Italy Parma or draw 82%
Parma
2 : 0 FT
Feralpisalo
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 31%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#18 K League 1 Β· South-Korea Pohang Steelers or draw 81%
Pohang Steelers
4 : 3 FT
Daejeon Citizen
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 23%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#19 Super League 1 Β· Greece PAOK or draw 80%
PAOK
3 : 0 FT
Asteras Tripolis
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 29%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 53%
#20 Serie B Β· Italy Sudtirol or draw 80%
Sudtirol
3 : 3 FT
Spezia
Win 47%
Draw 33%
Win 20%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 56%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 20 August 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Viking vs Stabaek (Viking or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.