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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 3 June 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 3 June 2023. Ajaccio vs Marseille (Marseille or draw) sits top on 93% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 78%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Premier League supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Marseille or draw 93%
Ajaccio
1 : 0 FT
Marseille
Win 7%
Draw 21%
Win 72%
✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 66% Marseille Clean Sheet 62%
#2 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Pacific FC or draw 92%
Vancouver FC
3 : 6 FT
Pacific FC
Win 8%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 69%
BTTS No 56%
#3 Serie A Β· Brazil Fortaleza EC or draw 91%
Fortaleza EC
0 : 0 FT
Bahia
Win 67%
Draw 24%
Win 9%
✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Fortaleza EC Clean Sheet 54%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Antalyaspor or draw 91%
Antalyaspor
3 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#5 Premier League Β· Russia Lokomotiv or draw 90%
Lokomotiv
3 : 1 FT
Torpedo Moskva
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
✓ Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#6 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 87%
Shandong Luneng
2 : 0 FT
Dalian Aerbin
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 22%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 58%
#7 Premier League Β· Russia CSKA Moscow or draw 85%
CSKA Moscow
4 : 1 FT
FC Rostov
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 27%
Win 15%
#8 Premier League Β· Russia Zenit or draw 85%
Zenit
1 : 0 FT
Fakel
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Premier League Β· Russia Nizhny Novgorod or draw 85%
Nizhny Novgorod
2 : 0 FT
Khimki
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Serie A Β· Brazil Atletico-MG or draw 83%
Cruzeiro
0 : 1 FT
Atletico-MG
Win 17%
Draw 34%
βœ“ Win 49%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#11 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 82%
Trabzonspor
5 : 1 FT
Alanyaspor
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#12 Premier League Β· Russia Ural or draw 82%
Ural
1 : 0 FT
FC Sochi
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden IFK Goteborg or draw 81%
IFK Goteborg
0 : 1 FT
Mjallby AIF
Win 50%
Draw 31%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#14 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS or draw 81%
KuPS
3 : 0 FT
Haka
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 32%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 58%
#15 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 81%
Auxerre
1 : 3 FT
Lens
Win 19%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 52%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 54%
#16 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Cercle Brugge or draw 81%
Cercle Brugge
2 : 0 FT
KVC Westerlo
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 80%
Torino
0 : 1 FT
Inter
Win 20%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 56%
#18 Süper Lig Β· Turkey İstanbulspor or draw 80%
Gaziantep FK
0 : 3 FT
İstanbulspor
Win 20%
Draw 22%
βœ“ Win 57%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 55%
#19 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Ilves or draw 79%
Ilves
2 : 2 FT
Lahti
Win 47%
Draw 32%
Win 21%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 54%
#20 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 78%
Kasımpaşa
2 : 5 FT
Beşiktaş
Win 22%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 54%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 3 June 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajaccio vs Marseille (Marseille or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.