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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 23 May 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 23 May 2023. Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Baten (Al-Ittihad FC or draw) led the list at 94% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Pro League supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 57%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 94%
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Baten
βœ“ Win 81%
Draw 13%
Win 6%
Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58% ✓ Al-Ittihad FC Clean Sheet 55%
#2 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 87%
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 5 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 13%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 55%
Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 86%
Valladolid
3 : 1 FT
Barcelona
Win 14%
Draw 19%
Win 67%
✓ Over 2.5 58%
#4 La Liga Β· Spain Real Sociedad or draw 84%
Real Sociedad
1 : 0 FT
Almeria
βœ“ Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 82%
Al-Adalah
2 : 0 FT
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
Win 18%
Draw 21%
Win 61%
Over 2.5 56%
#6 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 78%
Al-Nassr
3 : 2 FT
Al Shabab
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#7 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 77%
Plzen
0 : 2 FT
Bohemians 1905
Win 53%
Draw 24%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 62%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 23 May 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Baten (Al-Ittihad FC or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.