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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 30 April 2023

Thu 27 Fri 28 Sat 29 Sun 30 Mon 1 Tue 2 Wed 3

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 30 April 2023. Rennes vs Angers (Rennes or draw) led the list at 94% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 60% Rennes Clean Sheet 56%

Bundesliga · Germany Bayern München or draw 94%

Over 2.5 84% BTTS Yes 65%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 90%

Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

Süper Lig · Turkey Başakşehir or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 56%

Super League 1 · Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 88%

Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Allsvenskan · Sweden Malmo FF or draw 88%

Super League 1 · Greece PAOK or draw 87%

Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 80% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%

#10

Super League · Switzerland BSC Young Boys or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

#11

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Mlada Boleslav or draw 87%

#12

Primeira Liga · Portugal FC Porto or draw 85%

Over 2.5 66% BTTS Yes 58%

#13

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

#14

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 84%

#15

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slovácko or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

Thai League 1 · Thailand Muangthong United or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#17

Serie B · Italy Cagliari or draw 83%

Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 64%

#18

Serie A · Brazil Internacional or draw 82%

#19

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 82%

#20

K League 1 · South-Korea Pohang Steelers or draw 82%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 30 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Rennes vs Angers (Rennes or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.