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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 27 April 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 27 April 2023. Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab (Al-Ittihad FC or draw) led the list at 85% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 85% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

La Liga supplies three of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 78%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 85%
Al-Ittihad FC
2 : 1 FT
Al Shabab
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 21%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 56%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al Taawon or draw 84%
Al-Adalah
2 : 1 FT
Al Taawon
Win 16%
Draw 22%
Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Valencia or draw 81%
Valencia
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#4 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Luzern or draw 78%
FC Luzern
3 : 1 FT
FC Winterthur
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#5 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 78%
Everton
1 : 4 FT
Newcastle
Win 22%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 53%
Under 2.5 54%
#6 Super League Β· Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 76%
FC Sion
1 : 2 FT
FC Basel 1893
Win 24%
Draw 31%
βœ“ Win 45%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#7 Premier League Β· England Tottenham or draw 76%
Tottenham
2 : 2 FT
Manchester United
Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%
#8 La Liga Β· Spain Villarreal or draw 75%
Villarreal
4 : 2 FT
Espanyol
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 53%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Athletic Club or draw 75%
Athletic Club
0 : 1 FT
Sevilla
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 54%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 27 April 2023?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Al-Ittihad FC vs Al Shabab (Al-Ittihad FC or draw) at 85% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.