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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 1 April 2023

Wed 29 Thu 30 Fri 31 Sat 1 Sun 2 Mon 3 Tue 4

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 1 April 2023. Barnsley vs Morecambe (Barnsley or draw) led the list at 93% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 82%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

League One · England Barnsley or draw 93%

Primeira Liga · Portugal Sporting CP or draw 92%

✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Sporting CP Clean Sheet 60%

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 91%

✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Al-Hilal Saudi FC Clean Sheet 56%

Bundesliga · Germany SC Freiburg or draw 90%

Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

League One · England Portsmouth or draw 88%

Premier League · England Manchester City or draw 87%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 54%

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 87%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 60%

Süper Lig · Turkey Trabzonspor or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%

#10

Championship · England Bristol City or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 58%

#11

Premier League · Russia Dynamo or draw 86%

#12

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 86%

#13

Primera División · Chile Palestino or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#14

Bundesliga · Germany Union Berlin or draw 85%

#15

Ligue 2 · France Caen or draw 85%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 60%

#16

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium Gent or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%

#17

Primera División · Chile Huachipato or draw 83%

Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 66%

#18

2. Bundesliga · Germany Karlsruher SC or draw 83%

Karlsruher SC

1 : 1 FT

Eintracht Braunschweig

Win 64%

Draw 19%

Win 17%

Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%

#19

Super League · Switzerland FC Basel 1893 or draw 82%

Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%

#20

La Liga · Spain Cadiz or draw 82%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 1 April 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Barnsley vs Morecambe (Barnsley or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.