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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 18 March 2023

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 18 March 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Frosinone vs Cosenza (Frosinone or draw) at 95% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans ten different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Serie B · Italy Frosinone or draw 95%

Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Ligue 1 · France Lens or draw 94%

✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 61% ✓ Lens Clean Sheet 58%

League One · England Plymouth or draw 92%

Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Bundesliga · Germany Borussia Dortmund or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Sparta Praha or draw 89%

Over 2.5 67% BTTS Yes 57%

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 87%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Atletico Madrid Clean Sheet 56%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Buriram United or draw 87%

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 87%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Raków Częstochowa or draw 87%

#10

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Al-Nassr or draw 87%

#11

Süper Lig · Turkey Beşiktaş or draw 86%

#12

Ligue 2 · France Caen or draw 86%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 61%

#13

Super League 1 · Greece Atromitos or draw 86%

✓ Under 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS No 62%

#14

Championship · England Millwall or draw 85%

#15

League One · England Ipswich or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 57%

#16

Primeira Liga · Portugal Benfica or draw 84%

#17

Ligue 2 · France Le Havre or draw 83%

Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 60%

#18

Super League 1 · Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 83%

#19

Premier League · England Chelsea or draw 82%

Under 2.5 71% BTTS No 68% Chelsea Clean Sheet 55%

#20

Championship · England Watford or draw 82%

✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 58%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 18 March 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Cosenza (Frosinone or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.