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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 5 February 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Cambuur vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) at 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Ajax or draw 93%
Cambuur
0 : 5 FT
Ajax
Win 7%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 75%
✓ Over 2.5 66%
#2 Primera División Β· Chile Cobresal or draw 90%
Cobresal
1 : 0 FT
Deportes Copiapo
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 18%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 59%
#3 La Liga Β· Spain Real Sociedad or draw 90%
Real Sociedad
0 : 1 FT
Valladolid
Win 71%
Draw 19%
Win 10%
✓ BTTS No 59%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 87%
Panathinaikos
2 : 0 FT
Lamia
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 33%
Win 13%
✓ Under 2.5 67% ✓ BTTS No 63% ✓ Panathinaikos Clean Sheet 55%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Lorient or draw 87%
Lorient
0 : 0 FT
Angers
Win 63%
Draw 24%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 53%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 86%
FC Porto
2 : 0 FT
Vizela
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Galatasaray or draw 85%
Galatasaray
2 : 1 FT
Trabzonspor
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 16%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 74% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%
#8 Ligue 1 Β· France Reims or draw 85%
Auxerre
0 : 0 FT
Reims
Win 15%
Draw 28%
Win 58%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#9 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Feyenoord or draw 85%
Feyenoord
2 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 60%
Draw 25%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#10 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal SC Braga or draw 84%
SC Braga
4 : 1 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 23%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 57%
#11 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 84%
Union St. Gilloise
4 : 0 FT
Zulte Waregem
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#12 Bundesliga Β· Germany VfB Stuttgart or draw 84%
VfB Stuttgart
0 : 2 FT
Werder Bremen
Win 63%
Draw 21%
Win 16%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 65%
#13 La Liga Β· Spain Barcelona or draw 83%
Barcelona
3 : 0 FT
Sevilla
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 25%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#14 Serie A Β· Italy Inter or draw 83%
Inter
1 : 0 FT
AC Milan
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 22%
Win 17%
#15 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Khon Kaen United or draw 83%
Lampang FC
1 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 17%
Draw 26%
Win 57%
#16 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Chonburi FC or draw 82%
Chonburi FC
2 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 53%
#17 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 82%
Antwerp
0 : 0 FT
Club Brugge KV
Win 59%
Draw 23%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 59% BTTS Yes 57%
#18 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 82%
Zbrojovka Brno
1 : 3 FT
Plzen
Win 18%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 55%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 63%
#19 Serie A Β· Italy Napoli or draw 82%
Spezia
0 : 3 FT
Napoli
Win 18%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 57%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#20 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Wasl FC or draw 79%
Al-Wasl FC
3 : 1 FT
Al Bataeh
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 5 February 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.