Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Sunday 5 February 2023
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 5 February 2023. The strongest reading belongs to Cambuur vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) at 93% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 79%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Ajax or draw
93%
Primera División Β· Chile
Cobresal or draw
90%
La Liga Β· Spain
Real Sociedad or draw
90%
Super League 1 Β· Greece
Panathinaikos or draw
87%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Lorient or draw
87%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
FC Porto or draw
86%
Süper Lig Β· Turkey
Galatasaray or draw
85%
Ligue 1 Β· France
Reims or draw
85%
Eredivisie Β· Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
85%
Primeira Liga Β· Portugal
SC Braga or draw
84%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
84%
Bundesliga Β· Germany
VfB Stuttgart or draw
84%
La Liga Β· Spain
Barcelona or draw
83%
Serie A Β· Italy
Inter or draw
83%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Khon Kaen United or draw
83%
Thai League 1 Β· Thailand
Chonburi FC or draw
82%
Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium
Antwerp or draw
82%
Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic
Plzen or draw
82%
Serie A Β· Italy
Napoli or draw
82%
Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates
Al-Wasl FC or draw
79%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 5 February 2023?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Cambuur vs Ajax (Ajax or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.