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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 24 January 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Seven matches cleared our threshold on Tuesday 24 January 2023. Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln (Bayern München or draw) led the list at 92% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League One supplies three of the top 7, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the seven fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 92%
Bayern München
1 : 1 FT
1. FC Köln
Win 80%
Draw 12%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 82% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#2 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 90%
Bolton
1 : 0 FT
Forest Green
βœ“ Win 68%
Draw 22%
Win 10%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 64% ✓ Bolton Clean Sheet 57%
#3 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 85%
Sparta Rotterdam
0 : 0 FT
Waalwijk
Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 55%
#4 League One Β· England Ipswich or draw 84%
Ipswich
4 : 0 FT
Morecambe
βœ“ Win 61%
Draw 24%
Win 16%
Under 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#5 League Two Β· England Carlisle or draw 82%
Carlisle
3 : 1 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%
#6 League One Β· England Shrewsbury or draw 78%
Milton Keynes Dons
0 : 1 FT
Shrewsbury
Win 22%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 50%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 76%
Colchester
1 : 1 FT
Salford City
Win 24%
Draw 26%
Win 50%

Showing top 7 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 24 January 2023?

seven fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln (Bayern München or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.