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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 21 January 2023

Wed 18 Thu 19 Fri 20 Sat 21 Sun 22 Mon 23 Tue 24

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 21 January 2023. Pacos Ferreira vs SC Braga (SC Braga or draw) led the list at 88% in the Primeira Liga. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 80%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 18 landed the double chance market — 90%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 88%

Eredivisie · Netherlands NEC Nijmegen or draw 87%

Bundesliga · Germany Eintracht Frankfurt or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 56%

Premier League · England Newcastle or draw 86%

La Liga · Spain Atletico Madrid or draw 85%

Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Championship · England Luton or draw 85%

Championship · England Watford or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 61%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 84%

Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%

League Two · England Colchester or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS No 67% Colchester Clean Sheet 56%

#10

League One · England Plymouth or draw 83%

Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 59%

#11

Challenger Pro League · Belgium RWDM or draw 83%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%

#12

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 82%

Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%

#13

Serie B · Italy Modena or draw 82%

#14

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 82%

#15

Super League 1 · Greece Aris Thessalonikis or draw 82%

Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#16

Premier League · England Bournemouth or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 59%

#17

Thai League 1 · Thailand Ratchaburi or draw 81%

✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 61%

#18

Premier League · England Liverpool or draw 81%

#19

League One · England Barnsley or draw 80%

Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%

#20

League One · England Sheffield Wednesday or draw 80%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 21 January 2023?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Pacos Ferreira vs SC Braga (SC Braga or draw) at 88% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.