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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 15 January 2023

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists 15 fixtures on Sunday 15 January 2023. Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos (Asteras Tripolis or draw) sits top on 91% in the Super League 1. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

Super League 1 supplies four of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.

Of the 15 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 87%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League 1 Β· Greece Asteras Tripolis or draw 91%
Asteras Tripolis
0 : 0 FT
Levadiakos
Win 57%
Draw 34%
Win 9%
✓ Under 2.5 73% ✓ BTTS No 70% ✓ Asteras Tripolis Clean Sheet 64%
#2 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal FC Porto or draw 89%
FC Porto
4 : 1 FT
Famalicao
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 63%
#3 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 86%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
2 : 0 FT
Al-Adalah
βœ“ Win 66%
Draw 20%
Win 14%
Over 2.5 54%
#4 Super League 1 Β· Greece AEK Athens FC or draw 85%
AEK Athens FC
4 : 1 FT
Panetolikos
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 57%
#5 Super League 1 Β· Greece Olympiakos Piraeus or draw 84%
Olympiakos Piraeus
1 : 0 FT
Aris Thessalonikis
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 34%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 83%
Benfica
2 : 2 FT
Sporting CP
Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 55%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 82%
Monaco
7 : 1 FT
Ajaccio
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
#8 Serie A Β· Italy Udinese or draw 79%
Udinese
1 : 2 FT
Bologna
Win 55%
Draw 24%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#9 Super League 1 Β· Greece Panathinaikos or draw 79%
PAS Giannina
0 : 1 FT
Panathinaikos
Win 21%
Draw 32%
βœ“ Win 46%
BTTS Yes 55%
#10 Serie A Β· Italy Torino or draw 78%
Torino
0 : 1 FT
Spezia
Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#11 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 77%
Fortuna Sittard
2 : 2 FT
PSV Eindhoven
Win 23%
Draw 27%
Win 50%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%
#12 Ligue 1 Β· France Clermont Foot or draw 77%
Angers
1 : 2 FT
Clermont Foot
Win 23%
Draw 26%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#13 Premier League Β· England Newcastle or draw 76%
Newcastle
1 : 0 FT
Fulham
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 27%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#14 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Union St. Gilloise or draw 75%
Union St. Gilloise
2 : 0 FT
Antwerp
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 23%
Win 25%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 57%
#15 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Gent or draw 75%
Gent
2 : 1 FT
Kortrijk
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 22%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 15 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 15 January 2023?

15 fixtures met the criteria, led by Asteras Tripolis vs Levadiakos (Asteras Tripolis or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.