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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 27 December 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 27 December 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Shandong Luneng vs Meizhou Kejia (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 95% in the Super League. The shortlist runs from 95% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Super League supplies four of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 89%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Super League Β· China Shandong Luneng or draw 95%
Shandong Luneng
3 : 0 FT
Meizhou Kejia
βœ“ Win 83%
Draw 12%
Win 5%
✓ Over 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 56% ✓ Shandong Luneng Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Premier League Β· England Manchester United or draw 94%
Manchester United
3 : 0 FT
Nottingham Forest
βœ“ Win 77%
Draw 17%
Win 6%
✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Manchester United Clean Sheet 61%
#3 Super League Β· China Chengdu Better City or draw 91%
Chengdu Better City
3 : 1 FT
Wuhan Zall
βœ“ Win 74%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
✓ Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 54%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Fenerbahçe or draw 85%
Fenerbahçe
4 : 0 FT
Hatayspor
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 20%
Win 15%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 Premier League Β· England Chelsea or draw 85%
Chelsea
2 : 0 FT
Bournemouth
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 18%
Win 15%
Over 2.5 69% BTTS Yes 61%
#6 League Two Β· England Leyton Orient or draw 84%
Leyton Orient
0 : 0 FT
Stevenage
Win 58%
Draw 26%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 63% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#7 Super League Β· China Shijiazhuang Y. J. or draw 82%
Shijiazhuang Y. J.
3 : 0 FT
Hebei Zhongji
βœ“ Win 56%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
#8 Super League Β· China Tianjin Teda or draw 79%
Tianjin Teda
0 : 3 FT
Dalian Aerbin
Win 53%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
#9 Championship Β· England Burnley or draw 76%
Burnley
3 : 0 FT
Birmingham
βœ“ Win 50%
Draw 26%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 27 December 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Shandong Luneng vs Meizhou Kejia (Shandong Luneng or draw) at 95% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.