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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 3 December 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 3 December 2022. RWDM vs Club Brugge II (RWDM or draw) led the list at 91% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 77%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

League Two supplies three of the top 6, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the double chance market — 50%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium RWDM or draw 91%
RWDM
0 : 2 FT
Club Brugge II
Win 77%
Draw 14%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 69%
#2 League Two Β· England Salford City or draw 81%
Gillingham
0 : 3 FT
Salford City
Win 19%
Draw 33%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS No 71% ✓ Salford City Clean Sheet 56%
#3 League Two Β· England Carlisle or draw 79%
Carlisle
1 : 1 FT
Sutton Utd
Win 54%
Draw 25%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie B Β· Italy Ternana or draw 78%
Venezia
2 : 1 FT
Ternana
Win 22%
Draw 25%
Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#5 League Two Β· England Mansfield Town or draw 78%
Mansfield Town
2 : 1 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 25%
Win 22%
#6 League One Β· England Cambridge United or draw 77%
Forest Green
2 : 1 FT
Cambridge United
Win 23%
Draw 26%
Win 51%
Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 3 December 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by RWDM vs Club Brugge II (RWDM or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.