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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 27 November 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eleven fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 27 November 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Frosinone vs Cagliari (Frosinone or draw) at 87% in the Serie B. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie B supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the eleven fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 73%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Serie B Β· Italy Frosinone or draw 87%
Frosinone
2 : 2 FT
Cagliari
Win 58%
Draw 29%
Win 13%
Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 64% Frosinone Clean Sheet 56%
#2 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium SK Beveren or draw 84%
SK Beveren
2 : 3 FT
Lommel United
Win 64%
Draw 20%
Win 16%
✓ Over 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium K. Lierse S.K. or draw 82%
K. Lierse S.K.
2 : 2 FT
Excelsior Virton
Win 64%
Draw 18%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 75% ✓ BTTS Yes 68%
#4 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Sukhothai FC or draw 81%
Lamphun Warrior
3 : 1 FT
Sukhothai FC
Win 19%
Draw 29%
Win 52%
Under 2.5 65% BTTS No 61%
#5 Serie B Β· Italy Cittadella or draw 80%
Cittadella
1 : 1 FT
Cosenza
Win 48%
Draw 32%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 60%
#6 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Police Tero or draw 79%
Police Tero
1 : 0 FT
Nakhon Ratchasima FC
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#7 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand Nong Bua Pitchaya or draw 78%
Nong Bua Pitchaya
1 : 1 FT
Khon Kaen United
Win 49%
Draw 30%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 61%
#8 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 78%
Zorya Luhansk
1 : 1 FT
Minai
Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#9 Serie B Β· Italy Genoa or draw 78%
Perugia
1 : 0 FT
Genoa
Win 22%
Draw 30%
Win 48%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 53%
#10 Serie B Β· Italy Reggina or draw 77%
Reggina
2 : 2 FT
Benevento
Win 50%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#11 Serie B Β· Italy Brescia or draw 76%
Brescia
2 : 0 FT
Spal
βœ“ Win 45%
Draw 31%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 55%

Showing top 11 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 27 November 2022?

eleven fixtures met the criteria, led by Frosinone vs Cagliari (Frosinone or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.