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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 11 November 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

The model shortlists eight fixtures on Friday 11 November 2022. Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra (Khorfakkan or draw) sits top on 89% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, seven landed the double chance market — 88%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Khorfakkan or draw 89%
Khorfakkan
4 : 3 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 61%
#2 Premier League Β· Russia Akhmat or draw 81%
Nizhny Novgorod
3 : 2 FT
Akhmat
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 62%
#3 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Dender or draw 81%
Standard Liège II
1 : 1 FT
Dender
Win 19%
Draw 22%
Win 58%
Over 2.5 54%
#4 Eredivisie Β· Netherlands Sparta Rotterdam or draw 80%
Sparta Rotterdam
1 : 1 FT
Twente
Win 56%
Draw 24%
Win 20%
#5 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 79%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 0 FT
Al Nasr
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 57%
#6 Bundesliga Β· Germany Borussia Mönchengladbach or draw 76%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
4 : 2 FT
Borussia Dortmund
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 22%
Win 24%
✓ Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 60%
#7 Ligue 1 Β· France Lyon or draw 76%
Lyon
1 : 1 FT
Nice
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles or draw 75%
Heracles
5 : 1 FT
NAC Breda
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 19%
Win 25%
✓ Over 2.5 77% ✓ BTTS Yes 73%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 11 November 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Khorfakkan vs Al-Dhafra (Khorfakkan or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.