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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 1 October 2022

Wed 28 Thu 29 Fri 30 Sat 1 Sun 2 Mon 3 Tue 4

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Saturday 1 October 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles (Ajax or draw) at 94% in the Eredivisie. The shortlist runs from 94% down to 82%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans nine different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 17 landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Eredivisie · Netherlands Ajax or draw 94%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Chiangrai United or draw 91%

Over 2.5 59% BTTS No 56%

Serie A · Brazil Atletico Paranaense or draw 89%

Ligue 2 · France Caen or draw 88%

Eliteserien · Norway Valerenga or draw 87%

Bundesliga · Germany RB Leipzig or draw 87%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 55%

Championship · England Sheffield Utd or draw 86%

Eredivisie · Netherlands Twente or draw 86%

Ekstraklasa · Poland Pogon Szczecin or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

#10

La Liga · Spain Barcelona or draw 85%

#11

La Liga · Spain Villarreal or draw 85%

✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 60%

#12

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 85%

✓ Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 56%

#13

Superettan · Sweden Landskrona BoIS or draw 85%

#14

Primera División · Chile Union La Calera or draw 85%

#15

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Sharjah FC or draw 85%

#16

2. Bundesliga · Germany Fortuna Düsseldorf or draw 84%

#17

Serie A · Brazil Internacional or draw 84%

✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 66% ✓ Internacional Clean Sheet 55%

#18

Canadian Premier League · Canada Atlético Ottawa or draw 84%

Under 2.5 63% BTTS No 62%

#19

Serie A · Brazil Flamengo or draw 83%

#20

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 82%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Related markets

Draw No Bet Home Banker Likely Draw

Predictions by country

UK Football Predictions

Spanish Football Predictions

Italian Football Predictions

German Football Predictions

French Football Predictions

Dutch Football Predictions

Portuguese Football Predictions

Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 1 October 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Ajax vs GO Ahead Eagles (Ajax or draw) at 94% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.