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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 16 September 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Twelve fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 16 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Legia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica (Legia Warszawa or draw) at 87% in the Ekstraklasa. The shortlist runs from 87% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the twelve fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Legia Warszawa or draw 87%
Legia Warszawa
3 : 2 FT
Miedz Legnica
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 19%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 57%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Hilal Saudi FC or draw 85%
Al-Hilal Saudi FC
3 : 0 FT
Al Wehda Club
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 26%
Win 15%
Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Al-Hilal Saudi FC Clean Sheet 55%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 83%
NAC Breda
3 : 1 FT
Jong Utrecht
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 24%
Win 17%
Under 2.5 54% BTTS No 54%
#4 Serie A Β· Italy Salernitana or draw 82%
Salernitana
1 : 2 FT
Lecce
Win 49%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 59%
#5 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands MVV or draw 82%
MVV
4 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#6 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 80%
Antwerp
2 : 1 FT
Seraing United
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 19%
Win 20%
✓ Over 2.5 70% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#7 Ekstraklasa Β· Poland Piast Gliwice or draw 79%
Piast Gliwice
1 : 1 FT
Slask Wroclaw
Win 53%
Draw 26%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 60% BTTS No 57%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 78%
PEC Zwolle
1 : 2 FT
ADO Den Haag
Win 58%
Draw 21%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 69% ✓ BTTS Yes 66%
#9 Premier League Β· England Aston Villa or draw 77%
Aston Villa
1 : 0 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
BTTS Yes 54%
#10 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Al-Ittihad Kalba or draw 77%
Al-Ittihad Kalba
2 : 0 FT
Al-Dhafra
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 63%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Heracles or draw 76%
Telstar
0 : 3 FT
Heracles
Win 24%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 58%
#12 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Hatayspor or draw 76%
Hatayspor
0 : 4 FT
Kayserispor
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 12 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 16 September 2022?

twelve fixtures met the criteria, led by Legia Warszawa vs Miedz Legnica (Legia Warszawa or draw) at 87% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.