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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 11 September 2022

Thu 8 Fri 9 Sat 10 Sun 11 Mon 12 Tue 13 Wed 14

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 11 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Zenit vs FC Orenburg (Zenit or draw) at 97% in the Premier League. The shortlist runs from 97% down to 80%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Serie A supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 19 landed the double chance market — 95%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Premier League · Russia Zenit or draw 97%

Premier Division · Ireland Shamrock Rovers or draw 91%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS No 55%

Serie A · Brazil Palmeiras or draw 90%

✓ Over 2.5 54% BTTS No 57%

Czech Liga · Czech-Republic Slavia Praha or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Eliteserien · Norway Molde or draw 89%

✓ Over 2.5 55% BTTS No 54%

Thai League 1 · Thailand Bangkok United or draw 89%

✓ Under 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS No 62% ✓ Bangkok United Clean Sheet 55%

Veikkausliiga · Finland AC Oulu or draw 88%

Serie A · Italy Lecce or draw 85%

Serie A · Italy Atalanta or draw 85%

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 59%

#10

Bundesliga · Austria Lask Linz or draw 84%

Over 2.5 72% ✓ BTTS Yes 65%

#11

Superettan · Sweden Osters IF or draw 83%

Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 58%

#12

Ligue 1 · France Rennes or draw 83%

✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 57%

#13

Super League · Switzerland Servette FC or draw 83%

#14

Serie A · Italy Juventus or draw 82%

Under 2.5 66% BTTS No 58%

#15

Eredivisie · Netherlands PSV Eindhoven or draw 82%

Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 67%

#16

Primeira Liga · Portugal SC Braga or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%

#17

K League 1 · South-Korea Ulsan Hyundai FC or draw 82%

#18

Thai League 1 · Thailand Chiangrai United or draw 81%

Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 59%

#19

Süper Lig · Turkey Gaziantep FK or draw 80%

Over 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%

#20

Süper Lig · Turkey Kayserispor or draw 80%

Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 60%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 11 September 2022?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Zenit vs FC Orenburg (Zenit or draw) at 97% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.