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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 9 September 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

13 fixtures cleared the bar on Friday 9 September 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Beerschot VA vs Lommel United (Lommel United or draw) at 83% in the Challenger Pro League. The shortlist runs from 83% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eerste Divisie supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the 13 fixtures on this list that have since finished, eleven landed the double chance market — 85%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium Lommel United or draw 83%
Beerschot VA
0 : 2 FT
Lommel United
Win 17%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 63%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS Yes 59%
#2 Thai League 1 Β· Thailand BG Pathum United or draw 82%
BG Pathum United
1 : 0 FT
Lamphun Warrior
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 27%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#3 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC OSS or draw 82%
FC OSS
1 : 1 FT
Jong Ajax
Win 60%
Draw 22%
Win 18%
Over 2.5 54%
#4 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Alanyaspor or draw 81%
Alanyaspor
2 : 1 FT
Ankaragücü
βœ“ Win 59%
Draw 21%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#5 Ligue 1 Β· France Lens or draw 79%
Lens
1 : 0 FT
Estac Troyes
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 18%
Win 21%
Over 2.5 83% BTTS Yes 78%
#6 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands PEC Zwolle or draw 79%
PEC Zwolle
2 : 2 FT
Willem II
Win 56%
Draw 22%
Win 21%
✓ Over 2.5 57% ✓ BTTS Yes 56%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Vitória SC or draw 78%
Vitória SC
1 : 0 FT
Santa Clara
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#8 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Almere City FC or draw 78%
Almere City FC
0 : 1 FT
Telstar
Win 55%
Draw 23%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 55% BTTS Yes 55%
#9 La Liga Β· Spain Girona or draw 77%
Girona
2 : 1 FT
Valladolid
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 25%
Win 23%
Under 2.5 54%
#10 Premier League Β· Ukraine Zorya Luhansk or draw 77%
Ruh Lviv
3 : 1 FT
Zorya Luhansk
Win 23%
Draw 33%
Win 44%
✓ BTTS Yes 55%
#11 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 77%
FC Eindhoven
5 : 0 FT
MVV
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 57%
#12 Primera División Β· Chile Curico Unido or draw 76%
Curico Unido
2 : 0 FT
Union La Calera
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 21%
Win 24%
Over 2.5 65% BTTS Yes 63%
#13 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium K. Lierse S.K. or draw 76%
Dender
2 : 3 FT
K. Lierse S.K.
Win 24%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ Over 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%

Showing top 13 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 9 September 2022?

13 fixtures met the criteria, led by Beerschot VA vs Lommel United (Lommel United or draw) at 83% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.