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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Monday 22 August 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight fixtures cleared the bar on Monday 22 August 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF (Hammarby FF or draw) at 92% in the Allsvenskan. The shortlist runs from 92% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden Hammarby FF or draw 92%
Hammarby FF
5 : 1 FT
Degerfors IF
βœ“ Win 75%
Draw 17%
Win 8%
✓ Over 2.5 60% BTTS No 54%
#2 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Honka or draw 89%
Honka
4 : 1 FT
HIFK Helsinki
βœ“ Win 71%
Draw 18%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 54%
#3 Super League Β· China Beijing Guoan or draw 82%
Beijing Guoan
1 : 0 FT
Guangzhou R&F
βœ“ Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 18%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 56%
#4 Super League Β· China Wuhan Three Towns or draw 79%
Meizhou Kejia
1 : 2 FT
Wuhan Three Towns
Win 21%
Draw 25%
βœ“ Win 54%
#5 Serie A Β· Italy AS Roma or draw 78%
AS Roma
1 : 0 FT
Cremonese
βœ“ Win 52%
Draw 26%
Win 22%
Over 2.5 56% BTTS Yes 58%
#6 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 78%
GIL Vicente
0 : 0 FT
Famalicao
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 22%
✓ Under 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS No 57%
#7 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands Jong AZ or draw 77%
Jong AZ
3 : 2 FT
Almere City FC
βœ“ Win 54%
Draw 23%
Win 23%
✓ Over 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#8 Süper Lig Β· Turkey Konyaspor or draw 76%
İstanbulspor
0 : 4 FT
Konyaspor
Win 24%
Draw 27%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 54%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Monday 22 August 2022?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Hammarby FF vs Degerfors IF (Hammarby FF or draw) at 92% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.