Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β Sunday 17 July 2022
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
16 matches cleared our threshold on Sunday 17 July 2022. Sligo Rovers vs UCD (Sligo Rovers or draw) led the list at 91% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
Eliteserien supplies three of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.
Of the 16 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 81%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only β not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Sligo Rovers or draw
91%
Primera División Β· Chile
Curico Unido or draw
88%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Viking or draw
88%
Ekstraklasa Β· Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
81%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Sochi or draw
81%
Premier Division Β· Ireland
Derry City or draw
79%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
Hamburger SV or draw
79%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Molde or draw
78%
Eliteserien Β· Norway
Sarpsborg 08 FF or draw
78%
Premier League Β· Russia
FC Krasnodar or draw
77%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Sirius or draw
77%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
Hammarby FF or draw
77%
Serie A Β· Brazil
America Mineiro or draw
76%
2. Bundesliga Β· Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
76%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
AIK Stockholm or draw
76%
Allsvenskan Β· Sweden
IFK Goteborg or draw
75%
Showing top 16 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
Related markets
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Double Chance β common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 17 July 2022?
16 fixtures met the criteria, led by Sligo Rovers vs UCD (Sligo Rovers or draw) at 91% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.