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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 8 March 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 8 March 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Bournemouth vs Peterborough (Bournemouth or draw) at 93% in the Championship. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Championship supplies four of the top 9, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the nine fixtures on this list that have since finished, nine landed the double chance market — 100%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Championship Β· England Bournemouth or draw 93%
Bournemouth
1 : 1 FT
Peterborough
Win 78%
Draw 14%
Win 7%
Over 2.5 63% BTTS No 55%
#2 League One Β· England Bolton or draw 92%
Bolton
1 : 1 FT
Morecambe
Win 76%
Draw 16%
Win 8%
Over 2.5 63%
#3 Championship Β· England Sheffield Utd or draw 82%
Sheffield Utd
4 : 1 FT
Middlesbrough
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 25%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 57% BTTS No 57%
#4 League One Β· England Sunderland or draw 82%
Sunderland
3 : 1 FT
Fleetwood Town
βœ“ Win 58%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#5 League One Β· England Plymouth or draw 81%
Plymouth
2 : 0 FT
AFC Wimbledon
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 30%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 59%
#6 League One Β· England Portsmouth or draw 79%
Crewe
1 : 3 FT
Portsmouth
Win 21%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 49%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 56%
#7 League Two Β· England Bristol Rovers or draw 77%
Crawley Town
1 : 2 FT
Bristol Rovers
Win 23%
Draw 30%
βœ“ Win 47%
Under 2.5 55%
#8 Championship Β· England Fulham or draw 77%
Swansea
1 : 5 FT
Fulham
Win 23%
Draw 24%
βœ“ Win 53%
✓ BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Championship Β· England Blackburn or draw 76%
Blackburn
0 : 0 FT
Millwall
Win 48%
Draw 28%
Win 24%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 57%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 8 March 2022?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Bournemouth vs Peterborough (Bournemouth or draw) at 93% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.