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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 4 March 2022

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Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

14 matches cleared our threshold on Friday 4 March 2022. Al Ain vs Al Urooba (Al Ain or draw) led the list at 91% in the Pro League. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eerste Divisie supplies four of the top 10, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the 14 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 93%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

Pro League · United-Arab-Emirates Al Ain or draw 91%

Over 2.5 71% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Championship · England Huddersfield or draw 88%

Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Serie A · Italy Inter or draw 86%

✓ Over 2.5 58% BTTS Yes 56%

Süper Lig · Turkey Adana Demirspor or draw 85%

Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 57%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands FC Eindhoven or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS Yes 55%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Excelsior or draw 82%

✓ Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 59%

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 80%

Primeira Liga · Portugal GIL Vicente or draw 80%

Premier Division · Ireland Derry City or draw 80%

#10

Eerste Divisie · Netherlands Roda or draw 79%

✓ Over 2.5 72% BTTS Yes 68%

#11

Primera División · Chile Nublense or draw 78%

✓ Over 2.5 55% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

#12

Pro League · Saudi-Arabia Abha or draw 77%

✓ Under 2.5 60% ✓ BTTS No 55%

#13

Premier Division · Ireland Drogheda United or draw 77%

Under 2.5 62% BTTS No 57%

#14

Jupiler Pro League · Belgium St. Truiden or draw 76%

Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 61%

Showing top 14 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

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Double Chance — common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 4 March 2022?

14 fixtures met the criteria, led by Al Ain vs Al Urooba (Al Ain or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.