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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Tuesday 11 January 2022

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Six fixtures cleared the bar on Tuesday 11 January 2022. The strongest reading belongs to Sunderland vs Lincoln (Sunderland or draw) at 89% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 75%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

The shortlist spans five different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.

Of the six fixtures on this list that have since finished, four landed the double chance market — 67%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Sunderland or draw 89%
Sunderland
1 : 3 FT
Lincoln
Win 70%
Draw 19%
Win 11%
✓ Over 2.5 56% BTTS No 53%
#2 League Two Β· England Forest Green or draw 89%
Forest Green
2 : 0 FT
Colchester
βœ“ Win 60%
Draw 29%
Win 11%
✓ Under 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS No 65% ✓ Forest Green Clean Sheet 58%
#3 Championship Β· England Fulham or draw 82%
Reading
0 : 7 FT
Fulham
Win 18%
Draw 21%
βœ“ Win 61%
✓ Over 2.5 61% BTTS Yes 58%
#4 Pro League Β· United-Arab-Emirates Shabab Al Ahli Dubai or draw 78%
Shabab Al Ahli Dubai
3 : 1 FT
Khorfakkan
βœ“ Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 22%
✓ Over 2.5 54% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#5 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Faisaly FC or draw 75%
Al-Faisaly FC
2 : 2 FT
Al-Ahli Jeddah
Win 47%
Draw 29%
Win 25%
Under 2.5 58% BTTS No 53%
#6 Serie A Β· Italy Bologna or draw 75%
Cagliari
2 : 1 FT
Bologna
Win 25%
Draw 24%
Win 52%
✓ Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%

Showing top 6 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Tuesday 11 January 2022?

six fixtures met the criteria, led by Sunderland vs Lincoln (Sunderland or draw) at 89% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.