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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Saturday 27 November 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

20 matches cleared our threshold on Saturday 27 November 2021. Burton Albion vs Doncaster (Burton Albion or draw) led the list at 91% in the League One. The shortlist runs from 91% down to 81%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 League One Β· England Burton Albion or draw 91%
Burton Albion
2 : 0 FT
Doncaster
βœ“ Win 73%
Draw 18%
Win 9%
Over 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 59% ✓ Burton Albion Clean Sheet 54%
#2 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ittihad FC or draw 89%
Al-Ittihad FC
1 : 0 FT
Al Taee
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 20%
Win 11%
✓ BTTS No 58%
#3 Bundesliga Β· Germany Bayern München or draw 88%
Bayern München
1 : 0 FT
Arminia Bielefeld
βœ“ Win 65%
Draw 23%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 60% BTTS Yes 54%
#4 Premier League Β· Ukraine Dynamo Kyiv or draw 87%
Minai
0 : 2 FT
Dynamo Kyiv
Win 13%
Draw 18%
βœ“ Win 69%
Over 2.5 64% BTTS Yes 55%
#5 League Two Β· England Port Vale or draw 87%
Port Vale
2 : 0 FT
Hartlepool
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
#6 Czech Liga Β· Czech-Republic Plzen or draw 87%
Plzen
6 : 0 FT
Bohemians 1905
βœ“ Win 69%
Draw 18%
Win 13%
✓ Over 2.5 62% BTTS Yes 53%
#7 Championship Β· England Bournemouth or draw 87%
Bournemouth
2 : 2 FT
Coventry
Win 61%
Draw 26%
Win 13%
BTTS No 53%
#8 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Benfica or draw 86%
Belenenses
0 : 7 FT
Benfica
Win 14%
Draw 29%
βœ“ Win 57%
#9 Championship Β· England Fulham or draw 85%
Preston
1 : 1 FT
Fulham
Win 15%
Draw 23%
Win 62%
Over 2.5 61% ✓ BTTS Yes 57%
#10 League Two Β· England Walsall or draw 85%
Carlisle
1 : 0 FT
Walsall
Win 15%
Draw 38%
Win 47%
✓ Under 2.5 78% ✓ BTTS No 71% Walsall Clean Sheet 59%
#11 Bundesliga Β· Germany Hertha BSC or draw 84%
Hertha BSC
1 : 1 FT
FC Augsburg
Win 53%
Draw 31%
Win 16%
✓ Under 2.5 59% BTTS No 55%
#12 Championship Β· England Peterborough or draw 83%
Peterborough
0 : 0 FT
Barnsley
Win 54%
Draw 29%
Win 17%
✓ Under 2.5 59% ✓ BTTS No 55%
#13 Premier League Β· England Liverpool or draw 83%
Liverpool
4 : 0 FT
Southampton
βœ“ Win 62%
Draw 21%
Win 17%
✓ Over 2.5 57% BTTS Yes 53%
#14 Eliteserien Β· Norway Lillestrom or draw 82%
Lillestrom
4 : 1 FT
Stromsgodset
βœ“ Win 47%
Draw 36%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 60%
#15 Championship Β· England Swansea or draw 82%
Swansea
2 : 3 FT
Reading
Win 48%
Draw 33%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 68% BTTS No 62%
#16 Superettan Β· Sweden GIF Sundsvall or draw 82%
Gais
2 : 1 FT
GIF Sundsvall
Win 18%
Draw 25%
Win 56%
#17 Superettan Β· Sweden Osters IF or draw 81%
Osters IF
2 : 1 FT
Akropolis
βœ“ Win 53%
Draw 28%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 61% BTTS No 58%
#18 Challenger Pro League Β· Belgium KVC Westerlo or draw 81%
Lommel United
0 : 1 FT
KVC Westerlo
Win 19%
Draw 23%
βœ“ Win 58%
Over 2.5 74% BTTS Yes 71%
#19 Superettan Β· Sweden Trelleborg or draw 81%
Trelleborg
1 : 3 FT
Jonkopings Sodra
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 54%
#20 Eerste Divisie Β· Netherlands NAC Breda or draw 81%
NAC Breda
1 : 0 FT
Helmond Sport
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Under 2.5 53% ✓ BTTS No 53%

Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 27 November 2021?

20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Burton Albion vs Doncaster (Burton Albion or draw) at 91% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.