Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 3 October 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
20 fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 3 October 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Bayern München vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bayern München or draw) at 93% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 93% down to 81%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.
Bundesliga supplies three of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
93%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Feyenoord or draw
91%
Eredivisie · Netherlands
Ajax or draw
90%
Bundesliga · Austria
Sturm Graz or draw
88%
Ligue 1 · France
Lorient or draw
88%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Basel 1893 or draw
88%
Serie A · Italy
Napoli or draw
87%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Pogon Szczecin or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Austria
Red Bull Salzburg or draw
86%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Hradec Králové or draw
85%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga or draw
84%
Super League 1 · Greece
Olympiakos Piraeus or draw
84%
Super League · Switzerland
FC Zurich or draw
83%
Premier League · Russia
FC UFA or draw
82%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
82%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fenerbahçe or draw
82%
Premier League · Russia
Zenit or draw
82%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
SC Braga or draw
81%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
HJK Helsinki or draw
81%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
FC St. Pauli or draw
81%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 3 October 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs Eintracht Frankfurt (Bayern München or draw) at 93% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.