Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Friday 1 October 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
Ten matches cleared our threshold on Friday 1 October 2021. 1. FC Köln vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1. FC Köln or draw) led the list at 89% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 89% down to 76%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.
The shortlist spans nine different competitions, so there is no single league driving the day.
Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
1. FC Köln or draw
89%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
Hamburger SV or draw
88%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Ittihad FC or draw
87%
Süper Lig · Turkey
Fatih Karagümrük or draw
83%
La Liga · Spain
Athletic Club or draw
81%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
IF Elfsborg or draw
80%
Pro League · Saudi-Arabia
Al-Faisaly FC or draw
79%
Ekstraklasa · Poland
Zaglebie Lubin or draw
79%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
KV Mechelen or draw
76%
Ligue 1 · France
Reims or draw
76%
Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 1 October 2021?
ten fixtures met the criteria, led by 1. FC Köln vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth (1. FC Köln or draw) at 89% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.