Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Saturday 2 October 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Saturday 2 October 2021. RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum (RB Leipzig or draw) sits top on 96% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 96% down to 83%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
The shortlist spans seven different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.
Of the 17 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 16 landed the double chance market — 94%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
RB Leipzig or draw
96%
Eliteserien · Norway
Valerenga or draw
90%
Eliteserien · Norway
Molde or draw
90%
Bundesliga · Germany
Borussia Dortmund or draw
90%
Primeira Liga · Portugal
FC Porto or draw
90%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
K. Lierse S.K. or draw
88%
2. Bundesliga · Germany
SC Paderborn 07 or draw
88%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Halmstad or draw
88%
Czech Liga · Czech-Republic
Slovácko or draw
87%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
Varbergs BoIS FC or draw
87%
Ligue 2 · France
Toulouse or draw
86%
Veikkausliiga · Finland
KuPS or draw
86%
Bundesliga · Germany
VfL Wolfsburg or draw
86%
League Two · England
Harrogate Town or draw
85%
League Two · England
Exeter City or draw
85%
Championship · England
Bournemouth or draw
84%
Ligue 1 · France
Nice or draw
84%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
84%
Super League 1 · Greece
Aris Thessalonikis or draw
84%
Serie B · Italy
Ascoli or draw
83%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Saturday 2 October 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by RB Leipzig vs VfL Bochum (RB Leipzig or draw) at 96% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.