Double Chance Predictions
Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability — Sunday 22 August 2021
Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.
The model shortlists 20 fixtures on Sunday 22 August 2021. Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln (Bayern München or draw) sits top on 88% in the Bundesliga. The shortlist runs from 88% down to 80%, so the depth of the card matters as much as the headline pick.
Serie B supplies five of the top 10, which is worth noting if you are spreading selections across leagues.
Of the 20 fixtures on this list that have since finished, 13 landed the double chance market — 65%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.
Model output for information only — not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.
Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.
Bundesliga · Germany
Bayern München or draw
88%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Charleroi or draw
87%
Eliteserien · Norway
Bodo/Glimt or draw
86%
Eliteserien · Norway
Haugesund or draw
85%
Ligue 1 · France
Angers or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Alessandria or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Lecce or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Como or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Spal or draw
85%
Serie B · Italy
Cosenza or draw
85%
Allsvenskan · Sweden
AIK Stockholm or draw
84%
Superettan · Sweden
GIF Sundsvall or draw
83%
Bundesliga · Austria
Rapid Vienna or draw
83%
Premier League · Ukraine
Zorya Luhansk or draw
83%
Eliteserien · Norway
Rosenborg or draw
83%
Jupiler Pro League · Belgium
Union St. Gilloise or draw
82%
Challenger Pro League · Belgium
Excelsior Virton or draw
81%
Canadian Premier League · Canada
Forge or draw
81%
Premier League · Russia
Rubin or draw
81%
Premier League · England
Southampton or draw
80%
Showing top 20 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.
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Portuguese Football PredictionsDouble Chance — common questions
What does the Double Chance market mean?
Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.
How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?
Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.
How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 22 August 2021?
20 fixtures met the criteria, led by Bayern München vs 1. FC Köln (Bayern München or draw) at 88% double chance probability.
Which fixtures appear on this page?
Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.
How accurate are these double chance predictions?
Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.
Are these predictions betting tips?
No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.