Sign in Register
🛡️

Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Friday 13 August 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Eight matches cleared our threshold on Friday 13 August 2021. Lorient vs Monaco (Monaco or draw) led the list at 84% in the Ligue 1. The shortlist runs from 84% down to 75%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

The shortlist spans eight different competitions, a broad spread rather than one division dominating.

Of the eight fixtures on this list that have since finished, six landed the double chance market — 75%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

🎯

Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Ligue 1 Β· France Monaco or draw 84%
Lorient v Monaco prediction
Win 16%
Draw 32%
Win 52%
✓ Under 2.5 57%
#2 Jupiler Pro League Β· Belgium Antwerp or draw 82%
Charleroi v Antwerp prediction
Win 18%
Draw 27%
Win 54%
Over 2.5 56% ✓ BTTS Yes 58%
#3 Premier Division Β· Ireland St Patrick's Athl. or draw 82%
St Patrick's Athl. v Waterford prediction
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 18%
Under 2.5 55% BTTS No 55%
#4 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada FC Edmonton or draw 80%
FC Edmonton v Valour prediction
Win 51%
Draw 28%
Win 20%
✓ Under 2.5 66% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#5 2. Bundesliga Β· Germany Erzgebirge AUE or draw 79%
FC Schalke 04 v Erzgebirge AUE prediction
Win 21%
Draw 37%
Win 42%
✓ Under 2.5 64% BTTS No 55%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Lahti or draw 79%
Lahti v Haka prediction
Win 51%
Draw 27%
Win 21%
✓ Under 2.5 62% ✓ BTTS No 58%
#7 Primeira Liga Β· Portugal Estoril or draw 77%
Estoril v Vitória SC prediction
Win 47%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 68% ✓ BTTS No 62%
#8 Pro League Β· Saudi-Arabia Al-Ahli Jeddah or draw 75%
Al-Ahli Jeddah v Al-Faisaly FC prediction
Win 49%
Draw 26%
Win 25%
✓ Under 2.5 55%

Showing top 8 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Friday 13 August 2021?

eight fixtures met the criteria, led by Lorient vs Monaco (Monaco or draw) at 84% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.