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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Sunday 18 July 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Ten fixtures cleared the bar on Sunday 18 July 2021. The strongest reading belongs to Bohemians vs Longford Town (Bohemians or draw) at 90% in the Premier Division. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 76%, which is a meaningful spread across a single day.

Eliteserien supplies four of the top 10, so the day's profile is concentrated rather than spread evenly.

Of the ten fixtures on this list that have since finished, eight landed the double chance market — 80%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Premier Division Β· Ireland Bohemians or draw 90%
Bohemians v Longford Town prediction
Win 74%
Draw 16%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 64%
#2 Premier Division Β· Ireland Sligo Rovers or draw 86%
Waterford v Sligo Rovers prediction
Win 14%
Draw 23%
Win 63%
✓ Under 2.5 58% ✓ BTTS No 61%
#3 Canadian Premier League Β· Canada Pacific FC or draw 81%
Pacific FC v Forge prediction
Win 52%
Draw 29%
Win 19%
Under 2.5 69% BTTS No 65%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Stromsgodset or draw 81%
Stromsgodset v Stabaek prediction
βœ“ Win 57%
Draw 24%
Win 19%
✓ Over 2.5 65% ✓ BTTS Yes 64%
#5 Serie A Β· Brazil Cuiaba or draw 79%
Chapecoense-sc v Cuiaba prediction
Win 21%
Draw 35%
βœ“ Win 45%
Under 2.5 79% BTTS No 73% Cuiaba Clean Sheet 56%
#6 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund or draw 77%
Haugesund v Valerenga prediction
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
✓ BTTS Yes 54%
#7 Allsvenskan Β· Sweden AIK Stockholm or draw 77%
AIK Stockholm v Kalmar FF prediction
βœ“ Win 48%
Draw 30%
Win 23%
✓ Under 2.5 58%
#8 Super League Β· China Guangzhou Evergrande FC or draw 77%
#9 Eliteserien Β· Norway Kristiansund BK or draw 77%
Kristiansund BK v Sandefjord prediction
βœ“ Win 49%
Draw 28%
Win 23%
Over 2.5 54% BTTS Yes 57%
#10 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg or draw 76%
Tromso v Rosenborg prediction
Win 24%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 48%
✓ BTTS Yes 56%

Showing top 10 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Sunday 18 July 2021?

ten fixtures met the criteria, led by Bohemians vs Longford Town (Bohemians or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.