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Double Chance Predictions

Fixtures ranked by highest double chance probability β€” Thursday 24 June 2021

Double Chance covers two of the three results: the selected side wins or the match is drawn. Our prediction model adds the side's win probability to the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. Only selections at 75%+ probability are shown.

Nine matches cleared our threshold on Thursday 24 June 2021. Molde vs Lillestrom (Molde or draw) led the list at 90% in the Eliteserien. The shortlist runs from 90% down to 79%, so the tail is materially weaker than the top.

Eliteserien supplies six of the top 9, making it the dominant competition on this list.

Of the five fixtures on this list that have since finished, three landed the double chance market — 60%. This is a single day's sample and swings heavily; the rolling record across all fixtures is on the model accuracy page.

Model output for information only β€” not betting advice. See the model's accuracy record.

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Fixture360 only lists fixtures from a curated set of leagues, chosen specifically to keep our prediction model accurate.

#1 Eliteserien Β· Norway Molde or draw 90%
Molde v Lillestrom prediction
Molde
– : – CANC
Lillestrom
Win 73%
Draw 17%
Win 10%
Over 2.5 70% BTTS Yes 57%
#2 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 89%
Bodo/Glimt v Stabaek prediction
Bodo/Glimt
– : – CANC
Stabaek
Win 72%
Draw 17%
Win 11%
Over 2.5 71% BTTS Yes 60%
#3 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland KuPS or draw 88%
AC Oulu v KuPS prediction
Win 12%
Draw 19%
βœ“ Win 68%
✓ BTTS No 55%
#4 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund or draw 88%
Haugesund v Brann prediction
βœ“ Win 67%
Draw 21%
Win 12%
Over 2.5 58%
#5 Eliteserien Β· Norway Rosenborg or draw 87%
Rosenborg v Viking prediction
Rosenborg
– : – CANC
Viking
Win 72%
Draw 16%
Win 13%
Over 2.5 82% BTTS Yes 71%
#6 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland Haka or draw 83%
Honka v Haka prediction
Win 17%
Draw 24%
Win 59%
Under 2.5 56% BTTS No 57%
#7 Eliteserien Β· Norway Bodo/Glimt or draw 83%
Bodo/Glimt v Molde prediction
Win 64%
Draw 19%
Win 17%
Over 2.5 76% BTTS Yes 70%
#8 Eliteserien Β· Norway Haugesund or draw 81%
Haugesund v Kristiansund BK prediction
Win 55%
Draw 26%
Win 19%
BTTS Yes 53%
#9 Veikkausliiga Β· Finland SJK or draw 79%
Mariehamn v SJK prediction
Win 21%
Draw 28%
βœ“ Win 51%
✓ Under 2.5 64% ✓ BTTS No 60%

Showing top 9 fixtures by double chance probability (a 75% or higher double chance probability). Predictions are generated by our prediction model and updated daily. For informational purposes only.

Double Chance β€” common questions

What does the Double Chance market mean?

Double Chance settles on whether a match avoids defeat for the selected side — a win or a draw both count. It is one of the most commonly offered football markets and is priced by every major bookmaker.

How does Fixture360 calculate double chance probability?

Our Poisson model estimates each team's expected goals from their attack and defence strengths, then builds a probability for every possible scoreline. The double chance probability shown here is the selected side's win probability plus the draw probability, so only a defeat loses. No bookmaker odds are used as an input — the model is independent of the market.

How many fixtures qualified for Double Chance on Thursday 24 June 2021?

nine fixtures met the criteria, led by Molde vs Lillestrom (Molde or draw) at 90% double chance probability.

Which fixtures appear on this page?

Fixtures with a 75% or higher double chance probability, ranked strongest first. The page defaults to today; the date strip moves to other days, and only fixtures with enough underlying result history to generate a model snapshot are eligible.

How accurate are these double chance predictions?

Every settled prediction is scored and published on our model accuracy page, broken down by market and league. Treat any single day as a small sample — the model is built to be judged over hundreds of fixtures, not one card.

Are these predictions betting tips?

No. These are model outputs published for information, with no stake or return implied. Gambling carries real financial risk — please read our responsible gambling guidance.